Decision making under extreme uncertainty
Scenario based market valuations
- In times of uncertainty, thinking about scenarios helps provide clarity for decision-making
- The report describes in detail two divergent scenarios – a Short, Sharp Shock vs. the Great Depression Mark II
- We show long-term forecast returns under each scenario
- These scenarios, and the resulting forecasts, are continually updated for subscribers
How the forecasting process works
- This video describes the methodology used to produce the forecasts in the Special Report
- This process is particularly valuable in times of market extremes – both during bouts of excessive valuations and during times of stress when markets tend to over-react to the downside
- The process is transparent and understandable – which are critically important in times of extreme uncertainty