Decision making under extreme uncertainty

Scenario based market valuations

  • In times of uncertainty, thinking about scenarios helps provide clarity for decision-making
  • The report describes in detail two divergent scenarios – a Short, Sharp Shock vs. the Great Depression Mark II
  • We show long-term forecast returns under each scenario
  • These scenarios, and the resulting forecasts, are continually updated for subscribers

How the forecasting process works

  • This video describes the methodology used to produce the forecasts in the Special Report
  • This process is particularly valuable in times of market extremes – both during bouts of excessive valuations and during times of stress when markets tend to over-react to the downside
  • The process is transparent and understandable – which are critically important in times of extreme uncertainty

Where to next?